Accurate ●●●●●
By 2000 a computer will be the world's strongest chess player, able to beat the human world champion.
“The world chess champion is a computer.”AI
Who gets the future right?
A public record of predictions made by well-known people: their exact words, when they said them, and how things turned out.
Scorecard
| Person | Category | Predictions | Scored | Accurate | Late | Partial | Wrong | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michio Kaku | Scientist | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 33% |
| Ray Kurzweil | Futurist | 23 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 38% |
Accuracy counts accurate as 1, late or partial as ½, inaccurate as 0. Pending predictions don't count.