Ray Kurzweil

By 2000 a computer will be the world's strongest chess player, able to beat the human world champion.

“The world chess champion is a computer.”

Said on

1 January 1990 · Entry for 2000 in the Chronology (pp. 465-83) of The Age of Intelligent Machines (MIT Press, 1990), as reproduced on a Kurzweil Technologies publications page.

Source

Kurzweil Technologies, Inc.: Publications · Kurzweil Technologies, Inc. (mirror on calculemus.org)

Should come true

2000

How sure they sounded

none (chronology entry stated as fact)

Categories

AI

Importance

3 of 5 · A landmark for artificial intelligence that the field had been chasing for decades.

Outcome

Accurate Happened 11 May 1997.

IBM's Deep Blue beat reigning world champion Garry Kasparov 3.5-2.5 in a six-game match on 11 May 1997, before the 2000 date. Deep Blue never held the official FIDE title, but it was effectively the strongest player, which is the sense of the prediction.

Evidence:

• https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deep_Blue_versus_Garry_Kasparov