Predictions
Sort: newest · most important · target date
Pending ●●●●●
“with AI, over the next decade, that will become free, commonplace — great medical advice, great tutoring,”
Said 4 Feb 2025 · Target: 2035
AIHealth
Pending ●●●●●
“In the next five years, this will change completely. You won’t have to use different apps for different tasks. You’ll simply tell your device, in everyday language, what you want to do.”
Said 9 Nov 2023 · Target: 2028
AITechnology
Pending ●●●●●
“AIs will get to that ability, to be as good a tutor as any human ever could.”
Said 18 Apr 2023 · Target: No date given
AI
Partly right ●●●●●
“By the end of 2022 we should be basically completely back to normal”
Said 25 Mar 2021 · Target: 2022
HealthEconomy
Accurate ●●●●●
“I bet there’ll be some vaccines that will get out to lots of patients without the full regulatory review somewhere in the world.”
Said 7 Aug 2020 · Target: No date given
Health
Partly right ●●●●●
“for the rich world, we should largely be able to end this thing by the end of 2021, and for the world at large by the end of 2022.”
Said 7 Aug 2020 · Target: 2022
HealthEconomy
Unresolvable ●●●●●
“If things stay stable in the conflicted areas, humanity will see its last case of polio this year.”
Said 24 Oct 2017 · Target: 2017
Health
Unresolvable ●●●●●
“respiratory-spread pathogen would kill more than 30 million people in less than a year. And there is a reasonable probability of that taking place in the years ahead.”
Said 17 Feb 2017 · Target: No date given
Health
Pending ●●●●●
“Within the next 15 years—and especially if young people get involved—I expect the world will discover a clean energy breakthrough that will save our planet and power our world.”
Said 22 Feb 2016 · Target: 2031
EnergyClimate
Accurate ●●●●●
“If anything kills over 10 million people in the next few decades, it's most likely to be a highly infectious virus rather than a war.”
Said 18 Mar 2015 · Target: 2040s
Health
Inaccurate ●●●●●
“Guinea worm, an incredibly painful disease whose sufferers spend months incapacitated while worms that can be several feet long burst out of their legs, will also be gone soon, thanks in large part to the leadership of President Jimmy Carter and the Carter Center.”
Said 22 Jan 2015 · Target: No date given
Health
Pending ●●●●●
“Almost all countries will include vaccines for diarrhea and pneumonia, two of the biggest killers of children, in their immunization programs.”
Said 22 Jan 2015 · Target: 2030
Health
Pending ●●●●●
“By 2030, 2 billion people who don't have a bank account today will be storing money and making payments with their phones.”
Said 22 Jan 2015 · Target: 2030
BankingTechnologyEconomy
Pending ●●●●●
“In 1990, one in 10 children in the world died before age 5. Today, it's one in 20. By 2030, that number will be one in 40.”
Said 22 Jan 2015 · Target: 2030
Health
Pending ●●●●●
“By 2035, there will be almost no poor countries left in the world.”
Said 21 Jan 2014 · Target: 2035
Economy
Partly right ●●●●●
“Five years from now on the web for free you’ll be able to find the best lectures in the world. It will be better than any single university.”
Said 6 Aug 2010 · Target: 2015
Technology
Partly right ●●●●●
“I'm stunned how people aren't seeing that with TV, in five years from now, people will laugh at what we've had”
Said 27 Jan 2007 · Target: 2012
Technology
Inaccurate ●●●●●
“Two years from now, spam will be solved”
Said 24 Jan 2004 · Target: Jan 2006
Technology
Inaccurate ●●●●●
“within five years I predict it will be the most popular form of PC sold in America”
Said 11 Nov 2001 · Target: 2006
Technology
Accurate ●●●●●
“Eventually we’ll also be able to speak to televisions, personal computers, or other information appliances.”
Said 24 Nov 1995 · Target: No date given
Technology
Accurate ●●●●●
“Wallet PCs with the right equipment will be able to tell you exactly where you are anyplace on the face of the earth.”
Said 24 Nov 1995 · Target: No date given
Technology