Pending ●●●●●
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies will come to a bad ending (collapse).
“In terms of cryptocurrencies, generally, I can say with almost certainty that they will come to a bad ending”CryptoMarkets
Warren Buffett
Chairman and longtime CEO of Berkshire Hathaway; value investor known as the "Oracle of Omaha"
InvestorBusiness leader10predictions
2pending
5accurate
2late or partial
1inaccurate
75%accuracy
Predictions
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Pending ●●●●●
The Dow Jones Industrial Average will be over 1,000,000 in 100 years (by 2117).
“over 1 million”Markets
Accurate ●●●●●
US newspaper industry circulation, advertising and profits will keep declining over the following decade.
“the circulation, advertising and profits of the newspaper industry overall are certain to decline. That prediction still holds.”EconomyTechnology
Right, but late ●●●●●
A US housing recovery will begin by about early 2012.
“A housing recovery will probably begin within a year or so. In any event, it is certain to occur at some point.”Economy
Inaccurate ●●●●●
US residential housing problems will largely be over by about early 2011.
“within a year or so residential housing problems should largely be behind us, the exceptions being only high-value houses and those in certain localities where overbuilding was particularly egregious.”Economy
Partly right ●●●●●
The US economy will be in shambles throughout 2009.
“We're certain, for example, that the economy will be in shambles throughout 2009 — and, for that matter, probably well beyond”Economy
Accurate ●●●●●
US unemployment will rise and business activity will weaken in the near term (about a year) after October 2008.
“In the near term, unemployment will rise, business activity will falter and headlines will continue to be scary.”Economy
Accurate ●●●●●
US stocks will outperform cash, probably by a wide margin, over the ten years from October 2008.
“Equities will almost certainly outperform cash over the next decade, probably by a substantial degree.”Markets
Accurate ●●●●●
An S&P 500 index fund will outperform a portfolio of funds of hedge funds, net of fees, over 2008-2017.
“Over a ten-year period commencing on January 1, 2008, and ending on December 31, 2017, the S&P 500 will outperform a portfolio of funds of hedge funds, when performance is measured on a basis net of fees, costs and expenses.”Markets
Accurate ●●●●●
US stocks will return far less over the 17 years from 1999 than the ~19% a year of 1981-1998, most probably about 6% a year nominal for investors in aggregate.
“I think it’s very hard to come up with a persuasive case that equities will over the next 17 years perform anything like–anything like–they’ve performed in the past 17. If I had to pick the most probable return, from appreciation and dividends combined, that investors in aggrega…”Markets