Predictions
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Partly right ●●●●●
“I would expect inflation, on a year-over-year basis of this year, to shoot up to at least 3%, or slightly over, because of the tariffs”
Said 12 Jun 2025 · Target: 2025
EconomyPolitics
Unresolvable ●●●●●
“our best estimate is that we will be unable to continue to satisfy all of the government’s obligations by early June, and potentially as early as June 1, if Congress does not raise or suspend the debt limit before that time.”
Said 1 May 2023 · Target: 15 Jun 2023
PoliticsEconomy
Accurate ●●●●●
“Well, I believe by the end of next year you will see much lower inflation. if there's not-- an unanticipated shock.”
Said 11 Dec 2022 · Target: 2023
Economy
Inaccurate ●●●●●
“Well, I expect that to happen next year.”
Said 24 Oct 2021 · Target: 2022
Economy
Inaccurate ●●●●●
“Yes. I am confident that what we need to do to come into compliance with the minimum tax will be included in a reconciliation package.”
Said 10 Oct 2021 · Target: No date given
PoliticsEconomy
Accurate ●●●●●
“Well, I would expect that, if this package is passed, that we would get back to full employment next year.”
Said 7 Feb 2021 · Target: 2022
EconomyPolitics
Inaccurate ●●●●●
“But my baseline is I don’t see a recession, I don’t think it’s likely. And I expect them to stay on hold during the year.”
Said 28 Mar 2019 · Target: 2019
Economy
Pending ●●●●●
“I hope that it will not be in our lifetimes and I don't believe it will be”
Said 27 Jun 2017 · Target: No date given
BankingEconomy