Pending ●●●●●
Excessive US government debt will cause a crisis ("crack") in the US bond market within six months to six years (by mid-2031).
“You are going to see a crack in the Bond market, OK? It is going to happen”Markets
Jamie Dimon
CEO of JPMorgan Chase
Business leader10predictions
4pending
2accurate
0late or partial
3inaccurate
40%accuracy
Predictions
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Inaccurate ●●●●●
The 2025 US tariff upheaval will push the US economy into a recession.
“I think that's probably a likely outcome”Economy
Pending ●●●●●
Because of AI, the next generation will typically work a three-and-a-half-day week.
“And literally they'll probably be working three-and-a-half days a week.”AI
Pending ●●●●●
Thanks to AI and other technology, today's children will typically live to 100 without getting cancer.
“Your children are going to live to 100 and not have cancer because of technology.”Health
Accurate ●●●●●
The Federal Reserve's policy rate will rise above 5% (it was 4.25-4.5% at the time).
“I actually think rates are probably going to go higher than 5%”Economy
Inaccurate ●●●●●
The US will enter a recession within six to nine months, i.e. by July 2023.
“they're likely to put the U.S. in some kind of recession six to nine months from now,”Economy
Inaccurate ●●●●●
A severe economic "hurricane" (major US economic downturn) is coming soon, driven by Fed tightening, inflation and the war in Ukraine.
“That hurricane is right out there down the road coming our way.”Economy
Accurate ●●●●●
The Federal Reserve will raise interest rates more than four times in 2022, possibly six or seven times.
“My view is a pretty good chance there will be more than four. It could be six or seven.”Economy
Unresolvable ●●●●●
The post-pandemic US economic boom will continue into 2023.
“This boom could easily run into 2023.”Economy
Pending ●●●●●
Bitcoin will eventually collapse ("blow up"), possibly after first reaching $20,000.
“Don't ask me to short it. It could be at $20,000 before this happens, but it will eventually blow up.”Crypto