The US will enter a recession within six to nine months, i.e. by July 2023.
Inaccurate ●●●●●
“they're likely to put the U.S. in some kind of recession six to nine months from now,”
- Said on
- 10 October 2022 · CNBC interview; cited inflation, rate hikes, quantitative tightening and the war in Ukraine
- Source
- JPMorgan CEO Dimon warns of recession in 6 to 9 months - CNBC · Cyprus Mail (Reuters)
- Should come true
- Jul 2023
- How sure they sounded
- likely
- Categories
- Economy
- Importance
- 3 of 5 · A US recession affects the national economy and global markets.
Outcome
Inaccurate
No US recession began in the window to July 2023: the NBER's business-cycle chronology lists no peak after the April 2020 trough, and 2023 real GDP grew in every quarter (e.g. Q3 2023 at about 4.9% annualized).
- https://www.nber.org/research/data/us-business-cycle-expansions-and-contractions
- https://calculatedriskblog.com/2023/12/q3-gdp-growth-revised-down-to-49-annual.html
History
- 2026-10-16 22:57:52 · created by claude
- 2026-10-16 22:58:37 · scored by claude
- 2026-10-16 23:49:57 · categorized by claude
- 2026-10-16 23:50:24 · categorized by claude