Unresolvable ●●●●●
Oil prices will fall to roughly $30-35 per barrel within the next few years (by about 2029).
“During the next few years, we would not be surprised to see the oil price drop back toward ~$30-35 per barrel”BankingCrypto
Cathie Wood
Founder and CEO of ARK Invest
InvestorCrypto figure11predictions
3pending
3accurate
0late or partial
3inaccurate
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Predictions
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Pending ●●●●●
US real GDP growth will accelerate in the second half of 2026 compared with the first half.
“Thereafter, deregulation and other fiscal stimuli should turbocharge the impact of lower interest rates and accelerate GDP growth during the second half of 2026.”Crypto
Accurate ●●●●●
The spring-2025 US stock market correction will not become a bear market (a 20%+ closing decline in the S&P 500) and will turn into a broader bull market.
“we believe the current equity market correction is likely to stop short of a bear market and will evolve into a broader-based healthier bull market”Crypto
Inaccurate ●●●●●
The US CPI inflation rate will turn negative at some point in 2024.
“The Federal Reserve has overdone it, we’re going to see a lot more deflation going forward”Crypto
Pending ●●●●●
Global robotaxi services will generate $8-10 trillion in annual revenue by 2030.
“We think that the robotaxi opportunity, globally, will deliver $8 to $10 trillion in revenue by 2030”Crypto
Pending ●●●●●
Bitcoin will trade above $500,000 by 2030 (ARK base case).
“in fact, we are a little higher than that in our base case for the year 2030, and in our bull case, much higher.”Crypto
Unresolvable ●●●●●
US broad-based inflation will turn negative (deflation) during 2023.
“We would not be surprised to see broad-based inflation turn negative in 2023”CryptoMarkets
Inaccurate ●●●●●
ARK's innovation strategies (e.g. ARKK) will triple to quintuple in value (30-40% compound annual return) between December 2021 and December 2026.
“if our research is correct – and I believe that our research on innovation is the best in the financial world – then our strategies will triple to quintuple in value over the next five years”Crypto
Inaccurate ●●●●●
In 2022, price deflation rather than inflation will be the bigger surprise to markets.
“my conviction is growing that the bigger surprise to the markets will be price deflation – both cyclical and secular”AIMarkets
Accurate ●●●●●
Tesla stock will reach $7,000 per share (pre-split; about $467 after the 2020 and 2022 splits) by February 2025.
“Our confidence level that this stock is heading for $7,000 over the next five years is very high”Economy
Accurate ●●●●●
Tesla stock will reach $4,000 per share (pre-2020-split price; $800 after the 2020 5-for-1 split, about $267 after the 2022 3-for-1 split).
“If we're right, this stock in our models is going to $4,000”Economy