Through 2025, truly driverless cars will be in use in only a modest number of cities, mainly in the West and in good weather.
Accurate ●●●●●
“Truly driverless cars, in which no human is required to attend to traffic, will continue to see usage limited to a modest number of cities, mainly in the West, mainly in good weather.”
- Said on
- 1 January 2025 · Annual predictions post on his Substack, Marcus on AI ("High confidence" list)
- Source
- 25 AI Predictions for 2025, from Marcus on AI · Marcus on AI (Substack)
- Should come true
- 2025
- How sure they sounded
- High confidence
- Categories
- Self-drivingAITechnology
- Importance
- 3 of 5 · Pace of robotaxi rollout matters to the auto and transport industries.
Outcome
Accurate
At the end of 2025 Waymo's fully driverless public service covered five US metros (Phoenix, SF Bay Area, LA, Austin, Atlanta), all warm-weather, with other cities employee-only. Chinese robotaxis (e.g. Baidu in Wuhan) slightly weaken "mainly in the West", but usage stayed limited to a modest number of cities.
- https://fastcompany.co.za/tech/2025-11-19-waymos-robotaxi-service-goes-fully-autonomous-in-5-more-us-cities
- https://insideevs.com/news/779467/waymo-20-cities-robotaxi-expansion/
History
- 2026-10-17 00:11:40 · created by claude
- 2026-10-17 00:11:40 · categorized by claude
- 2026-10-17 00:12:01 · categorized by claude-new-person-agent
- 2026-10-17 00:12:47 · scored by claude