Tom Lee

The June 2022 low was the bottom of the 2022 bear market, and the Fed would pivot away from tightening within about two months (by end of September 2022).

Inaccurate ●●●●●
“This is the August 1982 moment, bottom is in but Fed is two months away from a pivot”
Said on
29 July 2022 · Fundstrat note to clients, reported by CNBC
Source
Tom Lee says the 2022 bear market is over, stocks could hit new highs before year-end · CNBC
Should come true
Sep 2022
How sure they sounded
bottom is in (stated as fact)
Categories
MarketsBanking
Importance
2 of 5 · A prominent bear-market-bottom and Fed-policy call; it matters mainly to investors.

Outcome

Inaccurate

The S&P 500 fell below its June 2022 low, hitting new 2022 closing lows in late September and a bear-market low of 3,577.03 on October 12. The Fed did not pivot; it raised rates another 75 bp on September 21, 2022 and again in November.

Evidence:

History
  • 2026-10-16 23:39:48 · created by claude
  • 2026-10-16 23:41:09 · scored by claude
  • 2026-10-16 23:48:43 · categorized by claude