Unresolvable ●●●●●
An Israel-Hamas ceasefire in Gaza will be in place by Monday, March 4, 2024.
“And my hope is by next Monday, we'll have a ceasefire.”Geopolitics
Joe Biden
46th President of the United States
Politician16predictions
1pending
8accurate
2late or partial
4inaccurate
64%accuracy
Predictions
Sort: newest · most important · target date
Accurate ●●●●●
The White House and congressional Republicans will reach a budget/debt-limit agreement and the US will not default on its debt in 2023.
“I'm confident that we'll get the agreement on the budget and America will not default”EconomyPolitics
Pending ●●●●●
Russia will not win its war in Ukraine.
“And Ukraine — Ukraine will never be a victory for Russia. Never.”Geopolitics
Accurate ●●●●●
China will not attempt to invade Taiwan in the near term (about two years after November 2022).
“And I do not think there's any imminent attempt on the part of China to invade Taiwan.”Geopolitics
Accurate ●●●●●
Democrats will keep control of the US Senate in the November 8, 2022 midterm elections.
“I think we'll win the Senate, and I think the House is tougher.”Elections
Accurate ●●●●●
Vladimir Putin will not use a tactical nuclear weapon in the war in Ukraine.
“Well, I don't think he will. But I think it's irresponsible of him to talk about it”Geopolitics
Accurate ●●●●●
The US economy will not enter a recession following late 2022 (or, if it does, the recession will be very mild).
“I don't think there will be a recession. If it is, it will be a very slight recession.”Economy
Inaccurate ●●●●●
Because of Western sanctions, Russia's economy will shrink by about half in the coming years.
“The economy is on track to be cut in half in the coming years.”EconomyGeopolitics
Accurate ●●●●●
Russian forces will attack Ukraine within the week after February 18, 2022, targeting the capital Kyiv.
“we have reason to believe the Russian forces are planning to and intend to attack Ukraine in the coming week”Geopolitics
Accurate ●●●●●
Vladimir Putin will send Russian forces into Ukraine.
“My guess is he will move in. He has to do something.”Geopolitics
Inaccurate ●●●●●
US inflation (6.8% in November 2021) is at its peak and will come down sooner than most people expect, i.e. during the first half of 2022.
“peak of the crisis, and I think you'll see it change sooner than—quicker than—more rapidly than it will take than most people think.”Economy
Inaccurate ●●●●●
Most of the US price increases seen in mid-2021 will prove temporary rather than becoming sustained inflation.
“Our experts believe and the data shows that most of the price increases we've seen are—were expected and expected to be temporary.”Economy
Partly right ●●●●●
There will be no Saigon-style helicopter evacuation of people from the US Embassy in Afghanistan after the US withdrawal.
“There's going to be no circumstance where you see people being lifted off the roof of a Embassy in the—of the United States from Afghanistan.”Geopolitics
Inaccurate ●●●●●
After the US troop withdrawal, the Taliban will not overrun and take control of all of Afghanistan.
“But the likelihood there's going to be the Taliban overrunning everything and owning the whole country is highly unlikely.”Geopolitics
Accurate ●●●●●
The US will face a severe COVID-19 winter in 2020-21, with the pandemic worsening.
“We're about to go into a dark winter, a dark winter”Health
Partly right ●●●●●
Once Donald Trump is out of the White House, many Republicans will have an "epiphany" and start working with Democrats.
“You will see an epiphany occur among many of my Republican friends.”Politics