Daniel Kokotajlo

By 2026 hundreds of millions of people will talk regularly to AI chatbots.

Accurate ●●●●●
“Nowadays, hundreds of millions of people talk regularly to chatbots of some sort”
Said on
6 August 2021 · 2026 section of his year-by-year AI scenario post
Source
What 2026 looks like · LessWrong
Should come true
2026
How sure they sounded
stated as fact in his best-guess scenario
Categories
AITechnology
Importance
3 of 5 · Mass consumer adoption of AI

Outcome

Accurate Happened 6 October 2025.

ChatGPT alone reached 800 million weekly active users by October 2025, already exceeding "hundreds of millions" regular chatbot users before 2026.

Evidence:

History
  • 2026-10-17 07:27:33 · created by claude
  • 2026-10-17 07:27:33 · categorized by claude
  • 2026-10-17 07:28:17 · scored by claude