By the end of 2022, leading large AI models will typically be fine-tuned to answer questions and to act as conversational chatbots.
Accurate ●●●●●
“Not only that, but they are now typically fine-tuned in various ways--for example, to answer questions correctly, or produce engaging conversation as a chatbot.”
- Said on
- 6 August 2021 · 2022 section of his year-by-year AI scenario post
- Source
- What 2026 looks like · LessWrong
- Should come true
- 2022
- How sure they sounded
- stated as fact in his best-guess scenario
- Categories
- AI
- Importance
- 3 of 5 · Anticipates the instruction-tuned chatbot era that reshaped the tech industry
Outcome
Accurate Happened 30 November 2022.
OpenAI's instruction-tuned InstructGPT became its default API model in early 2022 and the RLHF-tuned ChatGPT launched on 30 Nov 2022; fine-tuning large models for question answering and chat became standard practice in 2022.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ChatGPT
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reinforcement_learning_from_human_feedback
History
- 2026-10-17 07:27:11 · created by claude
- 2026-10-17 07:27:11 · categorized by claude
- 2026-10-17 07:28:05 · scored by claude