Sam Altman

By the end of 2025, an OpenAI model will rank as the world's number one competitive programmer.

Unresolvable ●●●●●
“I think our internal benchmark is now around 50, and maybe we'll hit number one by the end of this year.”
Said on
9 February 2025 · Remarks at a public event in early February 2025, reported by OfficeChai on Feb 9, 2025 (exact event date not confirmed).
Source
An AI Will Be The World's Best Programmer By The End Of 2025: OpenAI CEO Sam Altman · OfficeChai
Should come true
2025
How sure they sounded
"I think"; "maybe"
Categories
AI
Importance
2 of 5 · A milestone for the AI and software field.

Outcome

Unresolvable

The timed claim is hedged ("maybe we'll hit number one by the end of this year"), a possibility rather than a forecast, so unresolvable under the hedge rule (re-scored from partial). For context, OpenAI models won the 2025 ICPC AI track and IOI gold but placed second to a human at the AtCoder World Tour Finals Heuristic.

Evidence:

History
  • 2026-10-16 23:03:56 · created by claude
  • 2026-10-16 23:48:49 · scored by claude
  • 2026-10-16 23:49:50 · categorized by claude
  • 2026-10-17 00:09:07 · scored by claude