Sam Altman

Within five years of March 2021, AI programs will be reading legal documents and giving medical advice.

Accurate ●●●●●
“In the next five years, computer programs that can think will read legal documents and give medical advice.”
Said on
16 March 2021 · Essay "Moore's Law for Everything" on moores.samaltman.com
Source
Moore's Law for Everything · Sam Altman
Should come true
2026
How sure they sounded
will (stated as fact)
Categories
AIHealth
Importance
3 of 5 · Would transform the legal and healthcare industries.

Outcome

Accurate Happened 15 May 2025.

Before March 2026, LLM tools were routinely reviewing legal documents (e.g. Harvey, used by a large share of top law firms and valued at $5B by mid-2025) and giving medical advice (OpenAI said 230M+ people ask ChatGPT health questions weekly when it launched ChatGPT Health in Jan 2026). Whether these programs "think" is debatable, but the checkable part happened within the window.

Evidence:

History
  • 2026-10-16 23:03:53 · created by claude
  • 2026-10-16 23:04:18 · scored by claude
  • 2026-10-16 23:49:53 · categorized by claude