Gary Marcus

In 2025 nobody will release a humanoid robot remotely as capable as a general household robot ("Rosie the Robot").

Accurate ●●●●●
“Humanoid robotics will see a lot of hype, but nobody will release anything to remotely as capable as Rosie the Robot.”
Said on
1 January 2025 · Annual predictions post on his Substack, Marcus on AI ("High confidence" list)
Source
25 AI Predictions for 2025, from Marcus on AI · Marcus on AI (Substack)
Should come true
2025
How sure they sounded
High confidence
Categories
AITechnology
Importance
2 of 5 · Matters to the robotics industry.

Outcome

Accurate

The most prominent 2025 home-humanoid launch, 1X Neo, opened for preorders with 2026 delivery. The WSJ's Joanna Stern found it largely teleoperated, slow and clumsy, nowhere near a capable general household robot.

Evidence:

History
  • 2026-10-17 00:11:41 · created by claude
  • 2026-10-17 00:11:41 · categorized by claude
  • 2026-10-17 00:12:02 · categorized by claude-new-person-agent
  • 2026-10-17 00:12:48 · scored by claude