Donald Trump's 2016 election win will bring a global recession.
Inaccurate ●●●●●
“We are very probably looking at a global recession, with no end in sight.”
- Said on
- 9 November 2016 · New York Times election-night opinion piece "The Economic Fallout", quoted by SBS News; window inferred as the following two years
- Source
- Paul Krugman predicts a global recession after Trump's win · SBS News
- Should come true
- 2018
- How sure they sounded
- very probably
- Categories
- EconomyElections
- Importance
- 4 of 5 · A global recession call is of major worldwide consequence.
Outcome
Inaccurate
No global recession followed Trump's election. World growth accelerated to about 3.8 percent in 2017, the fastest since 2011 according to the IMF, and the US expansion continued until the COVID-19 shock in 2020 (NBER). Krugman retracted the call within days.
- https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/Issues/2018/03/20/world-economic-outlook-april-2018
- https://www.nber.org/research/data/us-business-cycle-expansions-and-contractions
History
- 2026-10-17 00:07:34 · created by claude
- 2026-10-17 00:07:34 · categorized by claude
- 2026-10-17 00:08:21 · scored by claude
- 2026-10-17 00:08:54 · categorized by claude