Superhuman AI of the kind described in the AI 2027 scenario will not arrive by the end of 2027.

Pending ●●●●●

“I acknowledge that I personally have longer-than-2027 timelines”

Said on: 10 July 2025 · Blog post responding to the AI 2027 scenario, on vitalik.eth.limo
Source: My response to AI 2027 · Vitalik Buterin's website
Should come true: 2027
How sure they sounded: I personally have (stated as his own view); elsewhere in the post he calls a mid-2030s trend extrapolation "much slower than 2027"
Categories: AI
Importance: 4 of 5 · Timing of superhuman AI has major global consequences.

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