Geoffrey Hinton

A cyberattack will take down a Canadian bank by April 2035.

Unresolvable ●●●●●
“But over the next 10 years, I wouldn't be at all surprised if there was a cyber attack that took down a Canadian bank.”
Said on
26 April 2025 · CBS Mornings interview with Brook Silva-Braga, aired April 26, 2025; follows 'I don't think the Canadian banks are safe anymore.'
Source
Transcript of Brook Silva-Braga Interviews Geoffrey Hinton on CBS Mornings · The Singju Post
Should come true
2035
How sure they sounded
I wouldn't be at all surprised
Categories
BankingTechnology
Importance
3 of 5 · Taking down a major bank would be a national-scale financial and security event for Canada.

Outcome

Unresolvable

Hedge rule: "I wouldn't be at all surprised if there was a cyber attack that took down a Canadian bank" says the event is plausible, not that it will happen, so it is a possibility rather than a forecast. Scored unresolvable on that basis; no Canadian bank has been taken down by a cyberattack as of October 2026, but that does not settle a hedged statement either way.

Evidence:

History
  • 2026-10-16 23:21:37 · created by claude
  • 2026-10-16 23:49:44 · scored by claude
  • 2026-10-16 23:50:36 · categorized by claude