Mark Zuckerberg

By the end of 2031, the metaverse will reach a billion people and host hundreds of billions of dollars of digital commerce.

“Our hope is that within the next decade, the metaverse will reach a billion people, host hundreds of billions of dollars of digital commerce, and support jobs for millions of creators and developers.”

Said on

28 October 2021 · Founder's Letter published when Facebook renamed itself Meta

Source

Founder's Letter, 2021 · Meta

Should come true

2030s

How sure they sounded

Our hope is

Categories

TechnologyEconomy

Importance

4 of 5 · Underpinned the renaming of Facebook to Meta and tens of billions in spending; a billion-person metaverse would be a global shift in computing.

Outcome

Unresolvable

Framed explicitly as a hope ("Our hope is that within the next decade..."), not a forecast, so the hedge rule makes it unresolvable.

Evidence:

• https://about.fb.com/news/2021/10/founders-letter/