The US economy will enter a recession in the near term (inferred window: by end of 2023).
Inaccurate ●●●●●
“As to whether there is a recession in the near term, that is more likely than not. It is not a certainty, but it appears more likely than not”
- Said on
- 21 June 2022 · Qatar Economic Forum, conversation with Bloomberg's John Micklethwait. No window stated; "near term" inferred as about 18 months.
- Source
- Elon Musk thinks recession is 'more likely than not' in the near term · KATV (The National Desk)
- Should come true
- 2023
- How sure they sounded
- more likely than not ... not a certainty
- Categories
- Economy
- Importance
- 3 of 5 · A US recession call matters to the national economy and markets.
Outcome
Inaccurate
No US recession followed: GDP grew 1.9% in 2022 and 2.5% in 2023, and NBER declared no recession. Window inferred from "near term" as about 18 months (to end of 2023).
- https://www.euronews.com/business/2024/01/25/good-news-for-us-as-growth-shows-surprise-jump
- https://www.rawstory.com/resilient-u-s-economy-defies-recession-fears-to-cap-solid-year/
History
- 2026-10-17 07:58:00 · created by claude
- 2026-10-17 07:58:00 · categorized by claude
- 2026-10-17 07:58:16 · scored by claude