The US economy will grow at moderately strong rates continuously from late 1997 into 2002.
Partly right ●●●●●
“The economy will start to grow at moderately strong rates from late 1997 into 2002.”
- Said on
- 1 January 1998 · 1998 prediction (year only; exact date unknown, recorded as Jan 1), listed in a sidebar of Dent's past forecasts in a 2002 Financial Planning / Money Management Executive article.
- Source
- Prognosticator Predicts the Return of "Tech Mania" · Financial Planning / Money Management Executive
- Should come true
- 2002
- How sure they sounded
- will (stated as fact)
- Categories
- Economy
- Importance
- 3 of 5 · A multi-year call on US economic growth matters to the national economy.
Outcome
Partly right
Growth was strong from late 1997 through 2000, but the expansion ended in March 2001 and the US was in recession until November 2001, so growth did not continue "into 2002" as forecast. The result is mixed, so partial.
- https://www.nber.org/news/business-cycle-dating-committee-announcement-november-26-2001
- https://www.nber.org/news/business-cycle-dating-committee-announcement-october-21-2003
History
- 2026-10-17 05:52:35 · created by claude
- 2026-10-17 05:52:35 · categorized by claude
- 2026-10-17 05:53:06 · scored by claude