Prediction Scorecard

Harry Dent

The US will not suffer a Great Depression during the 1990s.

Accurate ●●●●●
“There will most emphatically not be a Great Depression of the 1990s.”
Said on
1 January 1993 · 1993 prediction (year only; exact date unknown, recorded as Jan 1) from The Great Boom Ahead era, listed in a sidebar of Dent's past forecasts in a 2002 Financial Planning / Money Management Executive article. Rebuts the then-popular "Great Depression of 1990" thesis.
Source
Prognosticator Predicts the Return of "Tech Mania" · Financial Planning / Money Management Executive
Should come true
1990s
How sure they sounded
most emphatically
Categories
Economy
Importance
3 of 5 · Whether the US economy went into depression in the 1990s mattered to the whole country.

Outcome

Accurate Happened 31 December 1999.

There was no depression in the 1990s: after a mild recession ending in March 1991, the US had a ten-year expansion from March 1991 to March 2001, the longest in the NBER's records at the time.

Evidence:

History
  • 2026-10-17 05:52:32 · created by claude
  • 2026-10-17 05:52:32 · categorized by claude
  • 2026-10-17 05:53:03 · scored by claude