The US economy will avoid the widely forecast 2023 recession and move into an expansion instead.
Accurate ●●●●●
“I think instead of a recession unfolding, the economy is actually slipping into an expansion,”
- Said on
- 12 June 2023 · CNBC interview, as reported by Fortune (June 13, 2023), when many strategists expected a 2023 recession
- Source
- Wall Street's biggest bull says to forget the recession · Fortune
- Should come true
- No date given
- How sure they sounded
- I think
- Categories
- Economy
- Importance
- 3 of 5 · A call on whether the US economy enters recession; it matters to the whole country.
Outcome
Accurate Happened 26 October 2023.
No window was given, so I scored it against about two years (to mid-2025). No US recession began. Real GDP grew 4.9% annualized in Q3 2023, and the NBER has dated no contraction after April 2020.
- https://www.bea.gov/news/2023/gross-domestic-product-third-quarter-2023-advance-estimate
- https://www.nber.org/research/data/us-business-cycle-expansions-and-contractions
History
- 2026-10-17 05:45:46 · created by claude
- 2026-10-17 05:45:46 · categorized by claude
- 2026-10-17 05:46:01 · updated by claude
- 2026-10-17 05:46:11 · scored by claude