Donald Trump

North Korea will not develop a nuclear-armed missile capable of reaching parts of the United States.

Inaccurate ●●●●●
“North Korea just stated that it is in the final stages of developing a nuclear weapon capable of reaching parts of the U.S. It won't happen!”
Said on
2 January 2017 · Post on Twitter as president-elect, replying to Kim Jong Un's New Year address. No window stated; inferred window is his first term.
Source
Trump on possibility of North Korean intercontinental missile: 'It won't happen!' · Anchorage Daily News (Washington Post)
Should come true
2021
How sure they sounded
It won't happen! (stated as fact)
Categories
Geopolitics
Importance
4 of 5 · Nuclear threat to the US mainland and stability in East Asia.

Outcome

Inaccurate Happened 29 November 2017.

In 2017 North Korea tested ICBMs: the Hwasong-14 in July and the Hwasong-15 on November 29, which analysts estimated could reach the US mainland. The US Defense Intelligence Agency reportedly assessed that summer that Pyongyang had miniaturized nuclear warheads to fit on missiles. Some experts still doubted a proven re-entry capability, but the development Trump said would not happen largely did happen, so this is scored inaccurate.

Evidence:

History
  • 2026-10-16 23:59:21 · created by claude
  • 2026-10-16 23:59:21 · categorized by claude
  • 2026-10-16 23:59:27 · scored by claude