Anthony Fauci

The US COVID-19 outbreak will cause roughly 100,000 to 200,000 deaths (a hedged estimate with no stated time frame).

“I would say between 100,000 and 200,000 cases. But I don't want to be held to that, because it's -- excuse me -- deaths.”

Said on

29 March 2020 · CNN State of the Union interview with Jake Tapper; he first said "cases" and corrected himself to "deaths"

Source

State of the Union transcript, March 29, 2020 · CNN

Should come true

No date given

How sure they sounded

I would say; "I don't want to be held to that"

Categories

Health

Importance

3 of 5 · Death-toll expectations shaped the US national pandemic response.

Outcome

Inaccurate

No window was stated; inferred window is the pandemic's toll. US COVID-19 deaths passed 100,000 by late May 2020 and 200,000 by September 2020, and exceeded 1 million by May 2022, far above the 100,000-200,000 range. He added "I don't want to be held to that", but gave a specific numerical estimate rather than a possibility.

Evidence:

• https://www.ktvu.com/news/us-covid-19-deaths-top-1-million-johns-hopkins-data-shows
• https://transcripts.cnn.com/show/sotu/date/2020-03-29/segment/01