Global warming (long-term level, not a single year) will exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial during the 2020s.

Pending ●●●●●

“global warming will exceed 1.5°C in the 2020s”

Said on: 2 November 2023 · Abstract of Hansen et al., "Global warming in the pipeline", Oxford Open Climate Change, 2 November 2023. Single years (2024) already topped 1.5°C; scoring should use a multi-year mean.
Source: Global warming in the pipeline · Oxford Open Climate Change
Should come true: 2020s
How sure they sounded: will (under the present geopolitical approach to GHG emissions)
Categories: Climate
Importance: 4 of 5 · Passing the Paris Agreement's 1.5°C goal is a major global milestone.

Outcome

Not scored yet.

History