Global warming will exceed 2°C above pre-industrial before 2050.

Pending ●●●●●

“under the present geopolitical approach to GHG emissions, global warming will exceed 1.5°C in the 2020s and 2°C before 2050.”

Said on: 2 November 2023 · Abstract of Hansen et al., "Global warming in the pipeline", Oxford Open Climate Change 3(1), kgad008, published 2 November 2023 (preprint wording: "will likely pierce")
Source: Global warming in the pipeline · Oxford Open Climate Change
Should come true: 2049
How sure they sounded: will (under the present geopolitical approach, which he treats as the expected path)
Categories: Climate
Importance: 4 of 5 · Crossing 2°C would breach the Paris Agreement's upper limit with major global consequences.

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