Allan Lichtman

Donald Trump will be impeached during his (first) presidential term.

Accurate ●●●●●
“I’m quite certain Trump will give someone grounds for impeachment”
Said on
11 November 2016 · Interview with Peter W. Stevenson, The Washington Post, republished by HeraldNet
Source
https://www.heraldnet.com/2016/11/11/accurate-prediction-professor-says-trump-will-be-impeached/ · HeraldNet (Washington Post)
Should come true
20 Jan 2021
How sure they sounded
quite certain; "not based on a system, it's just my gut"
Categories
Politics
Importance
3 of 5 · Impeachment of a sitting US president is a major national political event.

Outcome

Accurate Happened 18 December 2019.

Re-checked against his wording ("Trump will give someone grounds for impeachment"): the House impeached Trump on December 18, 2019 and again on January 13, 2021, which fits the literal claim. The Senate acquitted both times, so his accompanying hint that Republicans would prefer Pence (implying removal) did not come true.

Evidence:

History
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