Donald Trump will win the 2016 US presidential election.
Accurate ●●●●●
“So very, very narrowly, the keys point to a Trump victory”
- Said on
- 23 September 2016 · Interview with The Washington Post (Sept. 23, 2016), quoted by the Christian Science Monitor
- Source
- Do 13 true-or-false questions predict a Trump victory? · Christian Science Monitor
- Should come true
- 8 Nov 2016
- How sure they sounded
- very, very narrowly; the keys point to
- Categories
- Elections
- Importance
- 4 of 5 · US presidential election outcome has major global consequences.
Outcome
Accurate Happened 8 November 2016.
Trump won the presidency via the Electoral College (304-227) while Hillary Clinton won the popular vote. Lichtman's wording ("a Trump victory") matches the presidential outcome, though his model had earlier been described as forecasting the popular vote, which Trump lost.
History
- 2026-10-16 23:29:33 · created by claude
- 2026-10-16 23:29:53 · scored by claude
- 2026-10-16 23:51:09 · categorized by claude