Kevin Hassett

Cutting the US corporate tax rate (as in the 2017 tax bill) will raise median household wages/income by about $4,000 a year relative to baseline within a relatively short time.

Inaccurate ●●●●●
“a tax cut like this very conservatively will increase the median wage by about $4,000 a year over a relatively short time”
Said on
11 October 2017 · Remarks as CEA chairman at The Hill's tax reform event at the Newseum, Washington DC; echoes the CEA's October 2017 report estimating $4,000-$9,000 household gains from cutting the corporate rate from 35% to 20%. Claim is relative to a no-tax-cut baseline.
Source
Council of Economic Advisers Chairman: Tax Cuts Could Increase Median Wage By About $4,000 · Washington Free Beacon
Should come true
No date given
How sure they sounded
very conservatively
Categories
EconomyPolitics
Importance
3 of 5 · Central official claim about the wage effect of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act for US households.

Outcome

Inaccurate

Inferred window: "a relatively short time" after the 2017 tax law, i.e. within roughly 3-5 years. The leading study of the TCJA (Chodorow-Reich, Zidar and Zwick, 2024) estimates long-run wage gains of only about $750 per worker per year, "an order of magnitude below" the $4,000-$9,000 the administration predicted.

Evidence:

History
  • 2026-10-16 23:29:27 · created by claude
  • 2026-10-16 23:52:47 · scored by claude
  • 2026-10-16 23:53:58 · categorized by claude