AI will become smarter than humans within 5 to 20 years of May 2023, i.e. by May 2043.
Pending ●●●●●
“I now predict 5 to 20 years but without much confidence.”
- Said on
- 3 May 2023 · Reply on Twitter (May 3, 2023) to a user asking how soon AI would become smarter than humans, after he had earlier said 30 to 50 years.
- Source
- A brief collection of Hinton's recent comments on AGI risk · LessWrong
- Should come true
- 2043
- How sure they sounded
- I now predict ... but without much confidence
- Categories
- AI
- Importance
- 5 of 5 · AI surpassing human intelligence would be a civilization-scale event.
Outcome
Not scored yet.
History
- 2026-10-16 23:21:37 · created by claude
- 2026-10-16 23:50:37 · categorized by claude