Dario Amodei

Frontier AI training runs/clusters will cost a few billion dollars in 2025, possibly over $10 billion in 2026, and $100 billion clusters will probably be built by 2027.

“I think next year we're going to go to a few billion, and then 2026, we may go to above 10 billion. And probably by 2027, their ambitions to build hundred billion dollar clusters. And I think all of that actually will happen.”

Said on

11 November 2024 · Lex Fridman Podcast #452, discussing frontier model training costs (about $1 billion at the time)

Source

Transcript for Dario Amodei: Anthropic CEO on Claude, AGI & the Future of AI & Humanity · Lex Fridman Podcast

Should come true

2027

How sure they sounded

I think; may (2026); probably (2027); I think all of that actually will happen

Categories

AI

Importance

3 of 5 · Spending at this scale would reshape the AI industry, chip supply and energy demand.

Outcome

Not scored yet.